FC Botosani vs Oţelul
Romania Liga I
FC Botosani
Oţelul
november 9, 2026 at 19:00 · Stadionul Municipal
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FC Botosani vs Oţelul prediction and betting tip for this Romania Liga I match, kicking off november 9, 2026 at 19:00 at Stadionul Municipal. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.25), 81% confidence.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul Preview
FC Botosani host Oţelul in the Romania Liga I (matchday 15) on maandag 9 november 2026, kick-off 19:00 GMT+0100 at Stadionul Municipal.
FC Botosani are 13th in the table with 14 points from 14 games (3-5-6), while Oţelul sit 14th on 12 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home FC Botosani have won 3 of 6; Oţelul have won 0 of 6 on the road.
FC Botosani have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-L), averaging 1,0 goals scored and 2,0 conceded. Oţelul have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-D-L-D), averaging 1,4 goals scored and 2,0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings FC Botosani have won 1, Oţelul 2, with 3 draws and an average of 1,5 goals per game. The most recent, in april 2026, finished FC Botosani 1-1 Oţelul.
FC Botosani average 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Oţelul average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Dumiter leads FC Botosani's scoring with 7 goals; Patrick leads Oţelul's scoring with 4 goals.
Bookmakers make FC Botosani the favourites: FC Botosani 2.05, draw 3.25, Oţelul 3.30 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2,7 goals, recent form points to 3,2 goals a game and bookmakers price over 1.5 at 1.25.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC Botosani | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
Season stats
| FC Botosani | Oţelul | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 5 / 6 | 2 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (1.3) | 16 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 19 (1.4) | 22 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.7 / 1.0 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
- A. Dumiter 7 goals · 0 assists
- Patrick 4 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 8 nov 2026, 12:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1,89 – 1,14 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Botosani win | 54,8% | 44,4% | 2,05 | +12.4% |
| Draw | 22,4% | 28,0% | 3,25 | -27.2% |
| Oţelul win | 22,8% | 27,6% | 3,30 | -24.8% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 77,2% | 72,4% | 1,30 | +0.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 45,2% | 55,6% | 1,67 | -24.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80,6% | 76,6% | 1,22 | -1.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58,4% | 52,6% | 1,80 | +5.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41,6% | 47,4% | 2,00 | -16.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64,0% | 66,3% | 1,40 | -10.4% |
| Both teams to score | 57,8% | 55,7% | 1,67 | -3.5% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 8 nov 2026, 16:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2,7 goals, recent form points to 3,2 goals a game and bookmakers price over 1.5 at 1.25.
Form (last 5)
FC Botosani
LWLLL
1,0 scored · 2,0 conceded per game
Oţelul
LLDLD
1,4 scored · 2,0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 FC Botosani wins 3 draws 2 Oţelul wins last 6 meetings
- FC Botosani1 - 1Oţelul Liga I
- FC Botosani0 - 0Oţelul Liga I
- Oţelul0 - 1FC Botosani Liga I
- FC Botosani0 - 1Oţelul Liga I
- Oţelul0 - 0FC Botosani Liga I
- FC Botosani2 - 3Oţelul Liga I
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 nov 2026, 12:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
