CRB vs Ceara
Brazil Serie B
CRB
Ceara
november 14, 2026 at 20:30 · Estádio Rei Pelé
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CRB vs Ceara prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie B match, kicking off november 14, 2026 at 20:30 at Estádio Rei Pelé. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.08), 83% confidence.
CRB vs Ceara Preview
CRB host Ceara in the Brazil Serie B (matchday 38) on zaterdag 14 november 2026, kick-off 20:30 GMT+0100 at Estádio Rei Pelé in Maceio. Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva is the referee.
CRB are 6th in the table with 58 points from 37 games (17-7-13), while Ceara sit 16th on 43 points. CRB have a 15-point advantage. At home CRB have won 10 of 18; Ceara have won 3 of 18 on the road.
CRB have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-L-W), averaging 1,6 goals scored and 1,2 conceded. Ceara have one draw and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-L-L-L), averaging 0,6 goals scored and 1,6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings CRB have won 4, Ceara 1, with 1 draw and an average of 1,8 goals per game. The most recent, in juli 2026, finished Ceara 0-1 CRB.
CRB average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1. Ceara average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 13 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Mikael leads CRB's scoring with 17 goals and 4 assists; Richard leads Ceara's scoring with 7 goals and 4 assists.
Bookmakers make CRB the favourites: CRB 1.40, draw 4.33, Ceara 8.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67 and under at 2.15. Both teams to score: yes 1.91, no 1.80.
Our prediction: CRB or draw (1X). The model gives CRB or a draw a 90% chance, Ceara have lost 4 of their last 5 and CRB sit 6th, 10 places above Ceara.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | +6 | 58 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
Season stats
| CRB | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 37 | 37 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 17 / 7 / 13 | 11 / 10 / 16 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 57 (1.5) | 38 (1.0) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 51 (1.4) | 47 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 13 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-1-4-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Mikael 17 goals · 4 assists
- Crystopher 7 goals · 8 assists
- Richard 7 goals · 4 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 nov 2026, 06:02. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2,02 – 0,96 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 86/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| CRB win | 62,0% |
| Draw | 20,9% |
| Ceara win | 17,1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 82,9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 38,0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79,7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57,1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42,9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65,3% |
| Both teams to score | 53,4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 nov 2026, 06:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: CRB or draw (1X) — The model gives CRB or a draw a 90% chance, Ceara have lost 4 of their last 5 and CRB sit 6th, 10 places above Ceara.
Form (last 5)
CRB
DLWLW
1,6 scored · 1,2 conceded per game
Ceara
LDLLL
0,6 scored · 1,6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 CRB wins 1 draws 1 Ceara wins last 6 meetings
- Ceara0 - 1CRB Serie B
- CRB0 - 2Ceara Serie B
- Ceara0 - 1CRB Copa Do Brasil
- Ceara2 - 2CRB Serie B
- CRB1 - 0Ceara Copa Do Brasil
- CRB2 - 0Ceara Serie B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 nov 2026, 06:01. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
